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Teaser No. 1
Can the court take this as evidence
Question:
A former national champian in badminton was shot dead
by some unknown assassins in Bangalore. The police case
is that a politically powerful man in north Inda hired
the assassins and sent them to Bangalore in his own
car to do the job. As evidence they said that his car
was parked in a parking lot near the place where the
assassination took place. To prove this they produced
a taxi driver who had seen the car parked there. The
witness claimed that he remembered the car and its number
under the following circumstances.
To kill time the taxi drivers used to indulge in the
following game. One of them will wrte down the reg-number
of a vehicle parked there. The number of vehicles may
be more than twenty. Each of others would try to guess
the number so written. People who guess correctly wins
and get the money contributed by all. It so happened
that the vehicle the number of which was written was
the number of the car in which the assassins had come.
The defence claimed that the evidence
cannot be accepted. Is it possible that the witness
is speaking the truth? Do you think that it can be accepted
as evidence?
Answer:
It is possible that the witness
is speaking the truth. But it cannot be accepted as
evidence because it contains a sequence of events the
probability of each of which is small and so the combined
probability being product of each is very small.
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